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Calibration of Passive Market Impact with a Queue-Sensitive Propagator Model.
Submitted for publication. 2026.
Yadh Hafsi, Fabrizio Lillo and Grégoire Szymanski.
[Arxiv]
[SSRN]
@misc{hafsi2026calibration,
author = {Hafsi, Yadh and Lillo, Fabrizio and Szymanski, Gr{\'e}goire},
title = {Calibration of Passive Market Impact with a Queue-Sensitive Propagator Model},
year = {2026},
eprint = {2610.38442},
archivePrefix = {arXiv},
primaryClass = {q-fin.TR},
url = {https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.38442}
}
-
An Aldous-type tightness characterisation for the M1 topology: replacing global modulus control by local control at stopping times.
Preprint. 2026.
Grégoire Szymanski and Fabrice Wunderlich.
[Arxiv]
@misc{szymanski2026aldous,
author = {Szymanski, Gr{\'e}goire and Wunderlich, Fabrice},
title = {An {A}ldous-type tightness characterisation for the {$M_1$} topology: replacing global modulus control by local control at stopping times},
year = {2026},
eprint = {2610.27900},
archivePrefix = {arXiv},
primaryClass = {math.PR},
url = {https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.27900}
}
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Intraday Volatility Dynamics.
Submitted for publication. 2026.
Carsten H. Chong, Marc Hoffmann, Mathieu Rosenbaum and Grégoire Szymanski.
[SSRN]
@misc{chong2026intraday,
author = {Chong, Carsten H. and Hoffmann, Marc and Rosenbaum, Mathieu and Szymanski, Gr{\'e}goire},
title = {Intraday Volatility Dynamics},
year = {2026},
howpublished = {SSRN preprint},
doi = {10.2139/ssrn.7344018},
url = {https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=7344018}
}
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Exact conditional simulation of Point processes: Application to pathwise market impact estimation.
Submitted for publication. 2026.
Joseph Leclère, Youssef Ouazzani Chahdi, Mathieu Rosenbaum and Grégoire Szymanski.
[Arxiv]
@misc{leclere2026exact,
author = {Lecl{\`e}re, Joseph and Ouazzani Chahdi, Youssef and Rosenbaum, Mathieu and Szymanski, Gr{\'e}goire},
title = {Exact conditional simulation of Point processes: Application to pathwise market impact estimation},
year = {2026},
eprint = {2607.03239},
archivePrefix = {arXiv},
primaryClass = {q-fin.TR},
url = {https://arxiv.org/abs/2607.03239}
}
-
A unified theory of order flow, market impact, and volatility.
Submitted for publication. 2026.
Johannes Muhle-Karbe, Youssef Ouazzani Chahdi, Mathieu Rosenbaum and Grégoire Szymanski.
[Arxiv]
@misc{muhlekarbe2026unified,
author = {Muhle-Karbe, Johannes and Ouazzani Chahdi, Youssef and Rosenbaum, Mathieu and Szymanski, Gr{\'e}goire},
title = {A unified theory of order flow, market impact, and volatility},
year = {2026},
eprint = {2601.23172},
archivePrefix = {arXiv},
primaryClass = {q-fin.ST},
url = {https://arxiv.org/abs/2601.23172}
}
🏆 Susquehanna-BFS Junior Scholar Award for Most Outstanding Paper, 2026
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The Quadratic Rough Heston+ Model for Short-Dated Options.
Risk. 2026.
Florian Bourgey, Patrick Noble, Ingi Petursson, Mathieu Rosenbaum and Grégoire Szymanski.
[SSRN]
[Journal]
@article{bourgey2026quadratic,
author = {Bourgey, Florian and Noble, Patrick and Petursson, Ingi and Rosenbaum, Mathieu and Szymanski, Gr{\'e}goire},
title = {The {Q}uadratic {R}ough {H}eston+ Model for Short-Dated Options},
journal = {Risk},
year = {2026},
url = {https://www.risk.net/cutting-edge/7964329/the-quadratic-rough-heston-model-for-short-dated-options}
}
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Trading with market resistance and concave price impact.
Submitted for publication. 2026.
N. De Carvalho, Y. Ouazzani Chahdi and G. Szymanski.
[Arxiv]
@misc{decarvalho2026trading,
author = {De Carvalho, Nathan and Ouazzani Chahdi, Youssef and Szymanski, Gr{\'e}goire},
title = {Trading with market resistance and concave price impact},
year = {2026},
eprint = {2601.03215},
archivePrefix = {arXiv},
primaryClass = {q-fin.TR},
url = {https://arxiv.org/abs/2601.03215}
}
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Mean-Field Limits for Nearly Unstable Hawkes Processes.
Electronic Journal of Probability. 31, paper no. 107, 2026.
G. Szymanski and W. Xu.
[Arxiv]
[Journal]
@article{szymanski2026mean,
author = {Szymanski, Gr{\'e}goire and Xu, Wei},
title = {Mean-field limits for nearly unstable {H}awkes processes},
journal = {Electronic Journal of Probability},
volume = {31},
pages = {Paper No. 107, 31 pp.},
year = {2026},
doi = {10.1214/26-EJP1551}
}
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Passive Market Impact: A Point Process Approach.
Finance and Stochastics. 2026.
Y. Ouazzani Chahdi, M. Rosenbaum and G. Szymanski.
[Arxiv]
[Journal]
@article{ouazzanichahdi2026passive,
author = {Ouazzani Chahdi, Youssef and Rosenbaum, Mathieu and Szymanski, Gr{\'e}goire},
title = {Passive Market Impact: A Point Process Approach},
journal = {Finance and Stochastics},
year = {2026},
doi = {10.1007/s00780-026-00606-7}
}
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Estimation of the invariant measure of a multidimensional diffusion from noisy observations.
Submitted for publication. 2024.
R. Maillet and G. Szymanski.
[Arxiv]
@misc{maillet2024estimation,
author = {Maillet, Rapha{\"e}l and Szymanski, Gr{\'e}goire},
title = {Estimation of the invariant measure of a multidimensional diffusion from noisy observations},
year = {2024},
eprint = {2404.12181},
archivePrefix = {arXiv},
primaryClass = {math.ST},
url = {https://arxiv.org/abs/2404.12181}
}
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Asymptotic Efficiency for Fractional Brownian Motion with general noise.
Submitted for publication. 2023.
G. Szymanski and T. Takabatake.
[Arxiv]
@misc{szymanski2023asymptotic,
author = {Szymanski, Gr{\'e}goire and Takabatake, Tetsuya},
title = {Asymptotic Efficiency for Fractional {B}rownian Motion with general noise},
year = {2023},
eprint = {2311.18669},
archivePrefix = {arXiv},
primaryClass = {math.ST},
url = {https://arxiv.org/abs/2311.18669}
}
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The two square root laws of market impact and the role of sophisticated market participants.
The Annals of Applied Probability. 36(5), 3863-3903, 2026.
B. Durin, M. Rosenbaum and G. Szymanski.
[Arxiv]
[Journal]
@article{durin2026two,
author = {Durin, Bruno and Rosenbaum, Mathieu and Szymanski, Gr{\'e}goire},
title = {The two square root laws of market impact and the role of sophisticated market participants},
journal = {The Annals of Applied Probability},
volume = {36},
number = {5},
pages = {3863--3903},
year = {2026},
doi = {10.1214/26-AAP2311}
}
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Statistical inference for rough volatility: Central limit theorems.
The Annals of Applied Probability. 34(3), 2600-2649, 2024.
C. Chong, M. Hoffmann, Y. Liu, M. Rosenbaum and G. Szymanski.
[Arxiv]
[Journal]
@article{chong2024clt,
author = {Chong, Carsten H. and Hoffmann, Marc and Liu, Yanghui and Rosenbaum, Mathieu and Szymanski, Gr{\'e}goire},
title = {Statistical inference for rough volatility: Central limit theorems},
journal = {The Annals of Applied Probability},
volume = {34},
number = {3},
pages = {2600--2649},
year = {2024},
doi = {10.1214/23-AAP2002}
}
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Statistical inference for rough volatility: Minimax theory.
The Annals of Statistics. 52(4), 1277-1306, 2024.
C. Chong, M. Hoffmann, Y. Liu, M. Rosenbaum and G. Szymanski.
[Arxiv]
[Journal]
@article{chong2024minimax,
author = {Chong, Carsten H. and Hoffmann, Marc and Liu, Yanghui and Rosenbaum, Mathieu and Szymanski, Gr{\'e}goire},
title = {Statistical inference for rough volatility: Minimax theory},
journal = {The Annals of Statistics},
volume = {52},
number = {4},
pages = {1277--1306},
year = {2024},
doi = {10.1214/23-AOS2343}
}
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Optimal estimation of the rough Hurst parameter in additive noise.
Stochastic Processes and their Applications. 170, 104302, 2024.
G. Szymanski.
[Arxiv]
[Journal]
@article{szymanski2024optimal,
author = {Szymanski, Gr{\'e}goire},
title = {Optimal estimation of the rough {H}urst parameter in additive noise},
journal = {Stochastic Processes and their Applications},
volume = {170},
pages = {104302},
year = {2024},
doi = {10.1016/j.spa.2024.104302}
}